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NGFS Scénarios climatiques

Network for Greening the Financial System

Regulation and supervisionScénarios climatiques prudentielsMulti-year cycleWorld

A network of central banks and supervisors devoted to greening the financial system. Produces the reference climate scenarios used by supervisors for stress tests, declining transition and physical-risk pathways. The methodological backbone of climate stress tests.

Methodology

Scenarios built by coupling climate, economic and energy models, revised in successive waves. They are coherent pathways, not forecasts; their prudential use requires owning their structuring assumptions and uncertainty.

Recommended use

Use as the reference scenario set for any climate stress test or transition and physical exposure analysis. A prudential standard for financial climate risk.

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