War risk premium
An additional premium negotiated voyage by voyage for a vessel's passage through a war zone, revisable in near real time.
The marine war risk premium does not cover a stable hazard. It posts a price that tracks, day by day, how dangerous a zone is. Negotiated by voyage and by endorsement, backed by covers cancellable at seven days' notice, it can triple or quadruple within days of an attack. Economically it works mainly as a signal. A few well-aimed attacks are enough to push it to the point where the transit no longer pays, and it then becomes the instrument of a de facto blockade.
After two Greek bulk carriers sank in July 2025, the Red Sea war risk premium rose from around 0.3% to nearly 1% of hull value.
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