Hurricanes Rita and Wilma (2005)
The two hurricanes that follow Katrina in autumn 2005: with it, they make the costliest season to that date, and set off a wave of new capital, notably in Bermuda.
On August 29, 2005, Katrina floods New Orleans. Less than a month later, on September 24, Rita hits the Texas-Louisiana border as a Category 3 after having been at one point a Category 5 in the Gulf of Mexico, and on October 24 Wilma strikes Florida, after having broken the Atlantic's lowest pressure record. The trio costs insurance tens of billions of dollars and makes 2005 the costliest natural catastrophe season of its time. For reinsurance, it is a turnaround. Cat layer prices rose sharply, more than doubling in places, in affected zones at the 2006 renewals, models were revised (RMS and AIR raised their rates and their allowance for post-event demand surge), and rating agencies changed their capital requirements for cat risk. Above all, new capital arrived within weeks: a series of Bermuda reinsurers, including Validus, Flagstone and Lancashire, were launched in autumn 2005 with several billion dollars raised on the market. Sidecars flourished, and the cat bond market doubled in two years. The season thus set the shape of cat reinsurance until 2017: prices that rise after a big loss, capital that arrives faster than expected, and modeling that readjusts.
Textbook case. A Florida cedant pays in 2005 a rate on line of 12% on a USD 100M layer excess of USD 100M, or USD 12M of premium. Wilma uses USD 60M of the layer, reinstated for USD 7.2M. At the 2006 renewal, the same program is quoted at 25% rate on line, or USD 25M, with the retention raised to USD 150M. The price gap, over 100%, is not due to its own losses alone: it is the rise of the whole market.
Rita and Wilma, Hurricane Rita, Hurricane Wilma, 2005 hurricane season, Katrina Rita Wilma, KRW 2005
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