Skip to content
←Back to glossarySpace risks

Anti-satellite (ASAT) weapon test

Deliberate destruction of a satellite by an anti-satellite weapon, generating a debris cloud that threatens every object in low Earth orbit.

Definition

November 15, 2021: a Russian missile destroys Cosmos 1408, a defunct Soviet satellite, leaving more than 1,500 tracked debris fragments in low Earth orbit. The ISS crew shelters. That is the pattern of an anti-satellite test: a state deliberately destroys a satellite, usually one of its own defunct spacecraft, to demonstrate a military capability. Unlike an accidental collision, the event is intentional and its scale foreseeable to the state that fires, but the orbital consequences escape its control once the debris cloud exists. A test in low Earth orbit can generate several thousand trackable fragments, spread across a wide range of altitudes and orbital lifetimes, and some threaten satellites and crewed stations for years or even decades. Space insurers face two questions. The first is the war or hostile-act exclusion common in space policies, which such an event may trigger. The second is accumulation, since a single test degrades the operating environment of an entire orbital shell and with it the future loss experience of many unrelated insureds. Several spacefaring powers keep running these tests, which makes them a systemic risk factor for the whole sector.

Its 7 cross-references, woven across the glossary's 18 categories
Anti-satellite (ASAT) weapon test: Space risks glossary illustration, AlgoPolis
Example

On November 15, 2021, Russia destroyed its defunct Cosmos 1408 satellite with an anti-satellite missile, generating more than 1,500 trackable debris fragments and forcing the International Space Station crew to shelter in their return vehicles.

Read next
Put it to work
Related terms
Related articles
Also known as

ASAT test, anti-satellite weapon, kinetic ASAT, debris-generating test

Stay informed

Follow the research

One letter a week. First, the week's underwriting note, when one is published: a dated, argued decision, signed by Paul Bernardski. Then what the observatory published on cyber risk, political risk and insurance. No account, no tracking.

No spam, one-click unsubscribe, no data ever sold.